13:27 British EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)
Top-rated: Supreme George at 9/1 (our rating: 16% win, 42% place)
The model makes Supreme George the strongest chance in the race: it looks well treated at the weights, it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run and it has a solid career strike rate. It edges the field by 25 points on our numbers. The main caveat: the jockey has been out of form. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (9/1).
14:02 Insurance Connections Best Bet Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
Top-rated: Emailandy at 16/1 (our rating: 16% win, 42% place)
The model makes Emailandy the strongest chance in the race: it looks well treated at the weights, it is a strong fit for today's conditions and it has a solid career strike rate. It is narrowly top of a close race (1 points clear of the next). It backs that up with form that reads well right now. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (16/1).
14:37 100 Punting Feats And Bad Beats 'Chasing Excellence' Mares' Beginners' Chase (GBB Race)
Top-rated: Getawhisky at 5/4 (our rating: 19% win, 48% place)
The model makes Getawhisky the strongest chance in the race: a drop in class is in its favour, the jockey has a good record at this track and the jockey is riding a lot of winners. It edges the field by 10 points on our numbers. The main caveat: there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 19 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (5/4).
15:12 D&M Groundworks Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)
Top-rated: Service Minimum at 6/4 (our rating: 22% win, 55% place)
The model makes Service Minimum the strongest chance in the race: the jockey has a good record at this track, the jockey is riding a lot of winners and it is a strong fit for today's conditions. It is clear of the field, 47 points ahead of the next best. The main caveat: it has crept up in the weights. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 22 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (6/4).
15:47 Thomas And Sonny Crilly Plant Hire Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
Top-rated: Rula Bula at 13/8 (our rating: 16% win, 42% place)
The model makes Rula Bula the strongest chance in the race: a drop in class is in its favour, the jockey has a good record at this track and it is a strong fit for today's conditions. It edges the field by 8 points on our numbers. Recent form has been poor, so this leans on proven ability rather than current fitness, and there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (13/8).
16:22 We Buy Cars On The Go Handicap Hurdle
Top-rated: Nobotheratall at 18/1 (our rating: 16% win, 42% place)
The model makes Nobotheratall the strongest chance in the race: it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run, a drop in class is in its favour and the jockey is riding a lot of winners. It edges the field by 9 points on our numbers. Recent form has been poor, so this leans on proven ability rather than current fitness. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (18/1).
16:53 QuinnBet Mares' NH Flat Race (Conditionals/Amateurs) (GBB Race)
Top-rated: Passing Chance at 14/1 (our rating: 8% win, 26% place)
Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Passing Chance (the jockey has a good record at this track), but we rate it only a modest chance. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 8 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (14/1).