16:08 quinnbet.com Handicap
Top-rated: Stage Show at 66/1 (our rating: 12% win, 34% place)
Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Stage Show (it looks well treated at the weights, it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run and a headgear change could sharpen it up), but we rate it only a modest chance. The main caveat: its recent in-running notes read poorly. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 12 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (66/1).
16:43 Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Top-rated: Wanderlust at 7/2 (our rating: 12% win, 34% place)
Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Wanderlust (a drop in class is in its favour, it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run and it stands clearly above the field on official ratings), but we rate it only a modest chance. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 12 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (7/2).
17:15 QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Top-rated: Qila at 13/8 (our rating: 12% win, 34% place)
Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Qila (it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run, a headgear change could sharpen it up and its recent form reads well), but we rate it only a modest chance. It backs that up with form that reads well right now. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 12 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (13/8).
17:45 Northumbria Leisure For Pool Tables Selling Stakes
Top-rated: Kaleido at 15/8 (our rating: 12% win, 34% place)
Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Kaleido (it looks well treated at the weights, the jockey is riding a lot of winners and it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run), but we rate it only a modest chance. It backs that up with form that reads well right now. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 12 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (15/8).
18:15 Margaret Macklam Memorial Handicap
Top-rated: Thunder Wonder at 4/1 (our rating: 19% win, 48% place)
The model makes Thunder Wonder the strongest chance in the race: it looks well treated at the weights, it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run and it is a strong fit for today's conditions. It edges the field by 17 points on our numbers. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 19 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (4/1).
18:45 Northumbria Leisure For Jukeboxes Handicap
Top-rated: Venture Capital at 11/2 (our rating: 22% win, 55% place)
The model makes Venture Capital the strongest chance in the race: it looks well treated at the weights, it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run and the jockey has a good record at this track. It is clear of the field, 23 points ahead of the next best. Recent form has been poor, so this leans on proven ability rather than current fitness, and its recent in-running notes read poorly. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 22 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (11/2).
19:15 Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap (Div 1)
Top-rated: Cavallo Pazzo at 13/2 (our rating: 22% win, 55% place)
Cavallo Pazzo looks well treated at the weights and arrives fresh with good timing after its last outing, while the jockey has a solid record at this track. The model rates it 46 points ahead of the field, though it's worth noting the recent form has been poor. As ever, even horses rated this way win only about 22 in 100, so this is a rating of chance, not a tip.
19:45 Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap (Div 2)
Top-rated: Clasina at 12/1 (our rating: 16% win, 42% place)
The model makes Clasina the strongest chance in the race: it looks well treated at the weights, it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run and the jockey has a good record at this track. It edges the field by 16 points on our numbers. Recent form has been poor, so this leans on proven ability rather than current fitness. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (12/1).
20:15 Quaff Box Handicap
Top-rated: Crypto Quest at 9/1 (our rating: 12% win, 34% place)
Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Crypto Quest (it looks well treated at the weights, it is a strong fit for today's conditions and it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run), but we rate it only a modest chance. The main caveat: the yard has little to show at this track. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 12 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (9/1).