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Trainers

The top trainers by strike rate

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The best trainers win at a rate the rest cannot touch, and the leaderboard is a roll-call of the sport's powerhouses. As a blind bet, though, even the very best yards lose money, because their reputation is baked into every price.

18% to 28%
Win rate of the 15 highest strike-rate trainers (minimum 3,000 runners). Backing them blind still loses; the edge is picking which ones.

The strike-rate leaders

Dominant jumps and dual-purpose yards lead the way, with win rates that would be the envy of any sport. The ROI column is the reality check: punters pile onto the big stables, so the value is long gone by the off.
TrainerRunnersWin rateROI at SP
W P Mullins12,19428.2%-2.3%
Nicky Henderson7,19026.6%+0.5%
Paul Nicholls7,99925.8%-2.3%
Charlie Appleby4,29525.5%-9.9%
John Gosden6,19122.4%-7.2%
William Haggas8,46822.1%-9.3%
Saeed bin Suroor4,46821.3%-11.9%
Olly Murphy3,53120.6%-13.4%
Dan Skelton7,44220.4%-12.5%
A P OBrien10,16120.4%-15.9%
Roger Varian7,16919.5%-14.7%
Sir Michael Stoute5,16719.0%-18.9%
Philip Hobbs5,94618.6%-7.7%
Sir Mark Prescott Bt3,90818.5%-22.3%
Kim Bailey3,28918.4%-1.8%

Where the real edge lives

A famous yard is a starting point, not an answer. The profitable questions are narrower: this trainer at this course, with this type of horse, off this kind of break, where the wider market is not paying attention. That is trainer analysis done properly.

Backing a stable blindly is just paying for its reputation. The strike-rate table tells you who is good, not who is value today.

Used as a filter inside a query, though, trainer form is one of the most powerful angles in racing, which is why it sits at the heart of the Big Data tool.

Test any angle yourself

The Overlay's Big Data tool lets you query 1.9 million UK and Irish results, rank trainers, jockeys, sires and course specialists, and turn a stat into today's runners in a click. Free to use, alongside a value board, bet calculator and play-money tracker.

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Related reading: The top jockeys by strike rate · Inside the Big Data tool · all studies.

Method, in plain English

Every settled runner 2010 to June 2026 for trainers with at least 3,000 runners, ranked by win rate, top 15. Win rate is wins over runners; ROI is level-stakes SP return. Historical and for information only.