13:39 Keogh & Hows Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)
Our read on Katarcice: The model makes Katarcice the strongest chance in the race: a drop in class is in its favour, it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run and the jockey has a good record at this track. It edges the field by 35 points on our numbers. It backs that up with form that reads well right now. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 20 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (15/8).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katarcice top rated | 15/8 | Top rated | 20% |
| 2 | One Knight | 9/4 | Pass | 12% |
| 3 | Seamy Appletart | 9/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 4 | Master Potter | 22/1 | Pass | 9% |
| 5 | Mr Rafiki | 12/1 | Pass | 9% |
| 6 | Tao Enki | 3/1 | Pass | 9% |
| 7 | Emerald West | 200/1 | Pass | 7% |
14:13 Bet With On Course Bookmakers Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
Our read on Depalma: The model makes Depalma the strongest chance in the race: the jockey is riding a lot of winners, a drop in class is in its favour and its recent form reads well. It edges the field by 20 points on our numbers. The main caveat: it is a touch below the better-rated horses on paper. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (4/1).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Depalma top rated | 4/1 | Shortlist | 16% |
| 2 | Senator | 10/11 | Watch | 13% |
| 3 | Ignore The Door | 9/2 | Pass | 12% |
| 4 | Kilworth | 9/2 | Pass | 9% |
14:49 Tracey- Ann Hen Day To Remember Mares' Handicap Hurdle
Our read on Ride Like A Girl: The model makes Ride Like A Girl the strongest chance in the race: the jockey has a good record at this track, it is a strong fit for today's conditions and it has a solid career strike rate. It is narrowly top of a close race (5 points clear of the next). It backs that up with form that reads well right now. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 20 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (7/2).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ride Like A Girl top rated | 7/2 | Top rated | 20% |
| 2 | Hello Sweety | 5/1 | Shortlist | 19% |
| 3 | Likewhatyousee | 12/1 | Watch | 14% |
| 4 | Watamu | 5/4 | Watch | 14% |
| 5 | Roarin' Success | 7/1 | Watch | 13% |
| 6 | Granny Hawkins | 10/1 | Watch | 12% |
15:34 Roy G. T. Clark 100th Birthday Memorial Handicap Chase
Our read on Kit's Coty: The model makes Kit's Coty the strongest chance in the race: it looks well treated at the weights, a drop in class is in its favour and the jockey is riding a lot of winners. It edges the field by 18 points on our numbers. The main caveat: there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 20 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (9/2).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kit's Coty top rated | 9/2 | Top rated | 20% |
| 2 | Gone In Sixty | 2/1 | Watch | 14% |
| 3 | Crac De Megaudais | 5/1 | Watch | 13% |
| 4 | Jack's A Legend | 7/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 5 | Mersey Street | 5/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 6 | Bahtiyar | 17/2 | Pass | 12% |
| 7 | Ballynorth | 16/1 | Pass | 12% |
16:18 Value With Oncourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle
Our read on Seraphic: Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Seraphic (the jockey is riding a lot of winners, the jockey has a good record at this track and a drop in class is in its favour), but we rate it only a modest chance. The main caveat: there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 12 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (17/2).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seraphic top rated | 17/2 | Watch | 12% |
| 2 | Lord Cauvelliere | 10/1 | Watch | 13% |
| 3 | Teorie | 9/4 | Watch | 12% |
| 4 | Lady Dapple Rose | 7/4 | Pass | 12% |
| 5 | Granny B | 14/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 6 | Crown Of India | 15/2 | Pass | 12% |
| 7 | Al Mootamarid | 9/1 | Pass | 7% |
| – | Yanka Blue NR | – | – |
16:55 Invades Novices' Handicap Chase
Our read on Applejack Poet: The model makes Applejack Poet the strongest chance in the race: it looks well treated at the weights, it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run and the jockey has a good record at this track. It edges the field by 9 points on our numbers. The main caveat: the jockey has been out of form. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (7/4).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Applejack Poet top rated | 7/4 | Shortlist | 16% |
| 2 | Glance At Me | 7/2 | Watch | 14% |
| 3 | Blackijo Dagrostis | 7/4 | Watch | 13% |
| 4 | Most Wanted | 11/2 | Pass | 12% |
| – | Onehundredneighty NR | – | – |
17:25 Annual Membership For Christmas Female Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle
Our read on Mayday Games: The model makes Mayday Games the strongest chance in the race: it is a strong fit for today's conditions, it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run and it has a solid career strike rate. It is narrowly top of a close race (4 points clear of the next). It backs that up with form that reads well right now. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (2/1).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mayday Games top rated | 2/1 | Shortlist | 16% |
| 2 | Mojo Ego | 4/1 | Shortlist | 15% |
| 3 | Lucky Sevens | 9/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 4 | Ashdown Forest | 11/4 | Watch | 12% |
| 5 | Ballyearl | 50/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 6 | Made All | 8/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 7 | Raffles Nobu | 17/2 | Pass | 9% |