13:05 British Stallion Studs EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)
Our read on Trigg: The model makes Trigg the strongest chance in the race: the jockey is riding a lot of winners, it has a solid career strike rate and the jockey has a good record at this track. It edges the field by 53 points on our numbers. The main caveat: there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 20 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (8/13).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trigg top rated | 8/13 | Top rated | 20% |
| 2 | Mecene | 11/8 | Pass | 9% |
| 3 | Silver Whisper | 80/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 4 | Horethorne | 40/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 5 | Danza Kuduro | 14/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 6 | Itsjustthewayiam | 20/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 7 | Squib | 20/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 8 | Jubilee Jack | 125/1 | Pass | 7% |
13:42 Konsileo Local Award Winning Commercial Insurer Handicap Hurdle
Our read on Misterdoc: The model makes Misterdoc the strongest chance in the race: it has a solid career strike rate, the jockey is riding a lot of winners and the jockey has a good record at this track. It edges the field by 11 points on our numbers. The main caveat: there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (11/8).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Misterdoc top rated | 11/8 | Shortlist | 16% |
| 2 | The Four Sixes | 13/2 | Shortlist | 15% |
| 3 | Arctic Voyage | 15/2 | Watch | 13% |
| 4 | Arbitration | 18/1 | Pass | 9% |
| 5 | Boyles Hill | 18/1 | Pass | 9% |
| 6 | Mister Ursus | 11/4 | Pass | 7% |
| 7 | Intellotto | 8/1 | Pass | 7% |
14:17 Bet With The On Course Bookies Handicap Chase
Our read on Playful Fox: Playful Fox looks well treated at the weights, and the data notes the jockey is in good form and has a solid record at this track, which gives it an edge over the field. However, recent form is mixed, and even horses rated this way win only about 22 in 100, so this is a rating of chance, not a tip.
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Playful Fox top rated | 13/8 | Top rated | 22% |
| 2 | Another Folly | 6/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 3 | Reteti | 11/4 | Pass | 12% |
| 4 | Myrighthandman | 4/1 | Pass | 9% |
| 5 | Leech | 17/2 | Pass | 7% |
| – | Annual Invitation NR | – | – |
14:52 1st Office Print And IT Solutions Handicap Hurdle
Our read on Norman Fletcher: Norman Fletcher looks well treated at the weights, the jockey has a strong record at this track and is riding a lot of winners at the moment. The model rates it 31 points clear of the field on the numbers, with recent form to match. Even horses rated this way win only about 22 in 100, so this is a rating of chance, not a tip.
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norman Fletcher top rated | 4/6 | Top rated | 22% |
| 2 | Beorma | 5/1 | Shortlist | 19% |
| 3 | Mount Anglesby | 10/1 | Watch | 14% |
| 4 | Faded Fantasy | 13/2 | Watch | 12% |
| 5 | Coconut Twist | 10/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 6 | Top Coeur | 22/1 | Pass | 7% |
15:37 Dartmoor Magazine Intermediate Chase (GBB Race)
Our read on Country Mile: Country Mile has a solid career strike rate and brings recent strong form to the race, while the jockey is in good form and knows this track well. The main concern is that stepping up in class presents a fresh test. Even horses rated this way win only about 22 in 100, so this is a rating of chance, not a tip.
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Country Mile top rated | 5/4 | Top rated | 22% |
| 2 | Quebecois | 5/4 | Pass | 12% |
| 3 | Leading Choice | 18/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 4 | El Capitaine | 6/1 | Pass | 7% |
16:07 DGM Robotic Mowers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase
Our read on Bertie Wooster: Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Bertie Wooster (it looks well treated at the weights and it stands clearly above the field on official ratings), but we rate it only a modest chance. The main caveat: there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 8 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (3/1).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bertie Wooster top rated | 3/1 | Pass | 8% |
| 2 | Anytrixwilldo | 11/2 | Pass | 12% |
| 3 | Flashy Boy | 5/2 | Pass | 12% |
| 4 | Testflight | 10/3 | Pass | 12% |
| 5 | Daring Plan | 4/1 | Pass | 7% |
16:43 Sky Sports Racing Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)
Our read on Duhallow Storm: Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Duhallow Storm (the jockey has a good record at this track, the jockey is riding a lot of winners and the yard goes well at this track), but we rate it only a modest chance. Recent form has been poor, so this leans on proven ability rather than current fitness, and there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 8 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (4/1).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duhallow Storm top rated | 4/1 | Pass | 8% |
| 2 | Delilah's Boy | 10/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 3 | Sea Glorya | 9/4 | Pass | 7% |
| 4 | Vale Magic | 22/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 5 | Moonlight Ballet | 33/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 6 | Havanotherguinness | 5/2 | Pass | 7% |
| 7 | Irish Ocean | 9/2 | Pass | 7% |
| – | Powerful Act NR | – | – |