UK & Ireland racing

Carlisle racecard: Thursday 22 October 2026

Our calibrated rating and chance on every runner in all 8 races at Carlisle on Thursday 22 October 2026, going GD. Feature race: 1. Every horse carries the same honest chance we publish our record on: a rating of its chance, never a tip. In competitive handicaps many runners rate similarly.

See the full field and our read on every runner →

13:17 Class Of '63: 63 Years On Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Class 42m 1f 33y13 runnersGD

Our read on Push The Limit: Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Push The Limit (a drop in class is in its favour, the jockey is riding a lot of winners and the jockey has a good record at this track), but we rate it only a modest chance. The main caveat: there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 12 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (4/5).

HorseOddsOur ratingOur chance
1Push The Limit top rated4/5Watch12%
2Watery Borren17/2Pass12%
3Argentum250/1Pass12%
4Farfromaway13/2Pass9%
5Dilrisk7/1Pass9%
6Cinnamon Storm200/1Pass7%
7Johnny Moonshine11/2Pass7%
8Moorhead80/1Pass7%
9Aye Over Tee12/1Pass7%
10Old Comrades80/1Pass7%
11Lecanvey Lady300/1Pass7%
12Eagle Warrior33/1Pass7%
13Striking Midnight28/1Pass7%

13:52 50 Years Of The Window Shop Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Class 42m 1f 33y8 runnersGD

Our read on Bel Amigo: Bel Amigo looks well treated at the weights and arrives fresh with good timing since its last outing, while the jockey has a solid record at this track. The model rates it 49 points clear of the field, though recent form has been poor and it sits a touch below the better-rated horses on paper. It's a rating of chance, not a tip, and even horses rated this way win only about 21 in 100.

HorseOddsOur ratingOur chance
1Bel Amigo top rated5/2Top rated21%
2Caballo De Guerra9/4Pass12%
3Sytadel15/2Pass12%
4Winds Of Winter5/1Pass12%
5Magna Victor13/2Pass12%
6Bertie's Ballet7/1Pass7%
7Balcomie Breeze50/1Pass7%
–Trust House NR––

14:27 Magnet, Better. By Design Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Class 33m 110y5 runnersGF

Our read on Dare To Shout: Dare To Shout has the weights in its favour and there's a jockey factor worth noting: the rider is in form and knows this track well. The model rates it 21 points clear of the field, though recent form has been poor and time away from the track raises a question mark over readiness. Even horses rated this way only win about 21 in 100, so this is a rating of chance, not a tip.

HorseOddsOur ratingOur chance
1Dare To Shout top rated10/3Top rated21%
2Walk On Quest6/1Shortlist19%
3Breizh River6/4Shortlist15%
4Sean Og11/2Pass12%
5Sir Carnegie9/2Pass12%

15:02 Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)

Class 52m 3f 218y13 runnersGD

Our read on Rickety Gate: The model makes Rickety Gate the strongest chance in the race: it looks well treated at the weights, the jockey is riding a lot of winners and the jockey has a good record at this track. It edges the field by 18 points on our numbers. Recent form has been poor, so this leans on proven ability rather than current fitness, and there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (7/2).

HorseOddsOur ratingOur chance
1Rickety Gate top rated7/2Shortlist16%
2La Lolita6/1Watch13%
3Shoeshine Boy33/1Watch12%
4Coventry6/1Pass12%
5Chicago Storm150/1Pass12%
6Am Still Here18/1Pass12%
7Gonnino9/1Pass12%
8Jetovango5/1Pass12%
9Half Track28/1Pass12%
10Lady Phoebe7/1Pass7%
11Billable Grant80/1Pass7%
12U S Marshall4/1Pass7%
13Final Straw22/1Pass7%

15:37 Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)

Class 52m 3f 218y13 runnersGD

Our read on Micks Jet: The model makes Micks Jet the strongest chance in the race: it looks well treated at the weights, it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run and a drop in class is in its favour. It is narrowly top of a close race (7 points clear of the next). Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 19 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (16/1).

HorseOddsOur ratingOur chance
1Micks Jet top rated16/1Top rated19%
2Royal Rhythm7/1Shortlist17%
3Vanilla Dancer22/1Shortlist15%
4Fourofakind14/1Watch13%
5Getaway Master11/4Watch13%
6Is She Now12/1Pass9%
7Joto7/1Pass9%
8Dusky Days28/1Pass7%
9Order Another One18/1Pass7%
10Drop Kick7/1Pass7%
11Knockeranna Rose4/1Pass7%
12Jack Dempsey20/1Pass7%
13Brave Move18/1Pass7%

16:12 Panoramic Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race)

Class 12m 1f 33y8 runnersGD

Our read on Rubaud: The model makes Rubaud the strongest chance in the race: the jockey has a good record at this track, it looks well treated at the weights and the jockey is riding a lot of winners. It is narrowly top of a close race (6 points clear of the next). The main caveat: there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (15/2).

HorseOddsOur ratingOur chance
1Rubaud top rated15/2Shortlist16%
2Mirabad9/2Watch14%
3Golden Ace11/4Watch13%
4Dedicated Hero25/1Pass12%
5Wilful3/1Pass12%
6Burdett Road4/1Pass12%
7Inner Success10/1Pass7%
8Hamlet's Night40/1Pass7%

16:45 Thomas Armstrong Group 'Building The Future' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Class 42m 3f 210y4 runnersGD

Our read on Hello Judge: The model makes Hello Judge the strongest chance in the race: the jockey is riding a lot of winners, it is a strong fit for today's conditions and the jockey has a good record at this track. It is narrowly top of a close race (2 points clear of the next). The main caveat: there is a question over its recent absence. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (3/1).

HorseOddsOur ratingOur chance
1Hello Judge top rated3/1Shortlist16%
2Old Gregorian5/1Shortlist19%
3Glory And Honour85/40Watch13%
4Dearkeithandkaty7/4Pass7%

17:20 GA Wilson Plastering Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)

Class 52m 1f 33y6 runnersGD

Our read on Crystal Spectre: Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Crystal Spectre (the jockey is riding a lot of winners, the jockey has a good record at this track and the yard goes well at this track), but we rate it only a modest chance. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 12 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (4/7).

HorseOddsOur ratingOur chance
1Crystal Spectre top rated4/7Watch12%
2Junior Minister10/1Pass12%
3Maliko Des Pins6/1Pass12%
4Midnight Jury5/1Pass9%
5Pony Express14/1Pass9%
–Grey Day NR––
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