13:53 Happy 80th Birthday William 'Bill' Carr Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
Our read on Green Star: Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Green Star (the jockey has a good record at this track, a drop in class is in its favour and the yard is in good form), but we rate it only a modest chance. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 12 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (1/1).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Star top rated | 1/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 2 | War Gaming | 7/2 | Pass | 12% |
| 3 | Longshanks Luke | 17/2 | Pass | 7% |
| 4 | Paphos | 20/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 5 | Harmonising | 12/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 6 | High Tower | 5/1 | Pass | 7% |
14:23 William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery
Our read on Under Arrest: Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Under Arrest (the jockey has a good record at this track, a drop in class is in its favour and the yard goes well at this track), but we rate it only a modest chance. It backs that up with form that reads well right now. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 12 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (11/4).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Under Arrest top rated | 11/4 | Watch | 12% |
| 2 | Aphra Behn | 11/4 | Watch | 13% |
| 3 | King Of Persia | 6/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 4 | Orchard Hatches | 9/2 | Pass | 12% |
| 5 | Emerald Bay | 12/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 6 | Tribal Appearance | 50/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 7 | Diplomacy | 28/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 8 | Craven Force | 100/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 9 | Bella Lucia | 17/2 | Pass | 7% |
| 10 | High Hazard | 18/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 11 | Statten Island | 18/1 | Pass | 7% |
14:53 British Stallion Studs EBF Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed)
Our read on Tyrrhenian Thunder: The model makes Tyrrhenian Thunder the strongest chance in the race: the jockey has a good record at this track, it has a solid career strike rate and it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run. It edges the field by 10 points on our numbers. The main caveat: it is stepping up in class. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (11/2).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyrrhenian Thunder top rated | 11/2 | Shortlist | 16% |
| 2 | King High | 5/1 | Shortlist | 15% |
| 3 | Undiscovered | 7/2 | Watch | 14% |
| 4 | Silverella | 3/1 | Watch | 14% |
| 5 | Game Character | 9/4 | Pass | 12% |
| 6 | Mary Doll | 22/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 7 | Kodiac City | 100/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 8 | Palace Legacy | 100/1 | Pass | 9% |
15:23 British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap
Our read on Sing The Blues: The model makes Sing The Blues the strongest chance in the race: a drop in class is in its favour, it has a solid career strike rate and the jockey has a good record at this track. It edges the field by 19 points on our numbers. The main caveat: it has crept up in the weights. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 19 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (13/2).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sing The Blues top rated | 13/2 | Top rated | 19% |
| 2 | Stormy Impact | 9/2 | Shortlist | 15% |
| 3 | Powdering | 40/1 | Watch | 14% |
| 4 | Beaujolais Nouveau | 12/1 | Watch | 13% |
| 5 | Lady Roxby | 4/1 | Watch | 13% |
| 6 | Mubasimah | 16/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 7 | Wor Faayth | 66/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 8 | Ghisa | 6/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 9 | Homestrait | 11/1 | Pass | 7% |
| 10 | Dandy Magic | 11/4 | Pass | 7% |
15:53 Phil Bull Trophy Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Our read on In The Breeze: The model makes In The Breeze the strongest chance in the race: it comes here fresh and in good time off its last run, the jockey has a good record at this track and it is a strong fit for today's conditions. It edges the field by 10 points on our numbers. The main caveat: it has crept up in the weights. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 16 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (6/1).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | In The Breeze top rated | 6/1 | Shortlist | 16% |
| 2 | Moon Over Miami | 7/2 | Watch | 14% |
| 3 | Tashkhan | 17/2 | Watch | 13% |
| 4 | Wise Eagle | 18/1 | Watch | 13% |
| 5 | Maxident | 6/4 | Pass | 12% |
| 6 | Marble Sands | 11/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 7 | Senor Cortez | 17/2 | Pass | 9% |
| 8 | Call My Bluff | 40/1 | Pass | 9% |
| 9 | Sure And Stedfast | 22/1 | Pass | 9% |
16:25 Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Our read on Sailthisshipalone: Nothing really stands out in this race. The best our numbers can offer is Sailthisshipalone (it is a strong fit for today's conditions, its recent form reads well and the yard goes well at this track), but we rate it only a modest chance. The main caveat: it is a touch below the better-rated horses on paper. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 12 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (8/1).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sailthisshipalone top rated | 8/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 2 | Walsingham | 17/2 | Watch | 12% |
| 3 | Obito | 6/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 4 | Per Contra | 13/2 | Pass | 12% |
| 5 | Green Area | 16/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 6 | Impartiality | 5/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 7 | Bnaider | 10/3 | Pass | 12% |
| 8 | Ohara | 12/1 | Pass | 9% |
| 9 | Night Patrol | 6/1 | Pass | 7% |
| – | Billyb NR | – | – |
16:55 William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap
Our read on Another Baar: The model makes Another Baar the strongest chance in the race: it looks well treated at the weights, a drop in class is in its favour and the jockey has a good record at this track. It is clear of the field, 46 points ahead of the next best. Recent form has been poor, so this leans on proven ability rather than current fitness. Even so, horses we rate this way win only about 21 in 100: this is a rating of chance, not a tip (2/1).
| Horse | Odds | Our rating | Our chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Another Baar top rated | 2/1 | Top rated | 21% |
| 2 | Vantheman | 3/1 | Watch | 13% |
| 3 | Our Cody | 33/1 | Watch | 13% |
| 4 | Call To Action | 7/2 | Watch | 13% |
| 5 | Startling | 16/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 6 | Rock Of England | 10/1 | Watch | 12% |
| 7 | Vince L'Amour | 25/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 8 | Changeofmind | 11/1 | Pass | 12% |
| 9 | Rogue Enforcer | 14/1 | Pass | 7% |
| – | Brummell NR | – | – |